en

Law Journal of the National Academy of Internal Affairs

  • Received 10.02.2026,
  • Revised 05.05.2026,
  • Accepted 26.05.2026
  • Published 08.07.2026
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Volume 16, No. 2, 2026
  • information and psychological operations; information narratives; criminal offences; crime situation; rank correlation; factor analysis
  • https://doi.org/10.63341/naia-chasopis/2.2026.31
  • Pages 31-41

The article examined the influence of russian information and psychological operations on the public consciousness of Ukrainians with the aim of provoking criminal offences. russian narratives were analysed on their intensity using the number of occurrences of the selected russian language words in the propaganda materials. The number of specific crimes was based on the statistics of the Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine. The study revealed that from 2013 to 2025, there were statistically significant co-movements in the number of propaganda materials devoted to certain russian information and political psychological operations and certain types of registered crimes in Ukraine. On the basis of the correlation analysis, assumptions were made regarding the influence of particular propaganda narratives on statistics for selected categories of criminal offences. The exploratory factor analysis revealed the existence of three distinct factors of informational and criminogenic influence, which combine the dynamics of russian propaganda narratives with the dynamics of indicators of criminal offences against the foundations of Ukraine’s national security, statehood, defence capability and territorial integrity between 2013 and 2025. Establishing the presence of an influence exerted by russian propaganda on criminal offence statistics, as well as the factors determining this influence, will make it possible to develop future strategies aimed at reducing the effectiveness of russian propaganda and lowering the crime rate

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